Article
– 3: Commodity forwards and Futures. (Robert McDonald)
In this article, we will discuss about
asset holding positions. All these points are basic points, but we need to
understand these basics before discuss about the topic in depth.
Variables
|
How they are
denoted?
|
Present price of an asset
|
Spot price (S0)
|
Expected future price of an asset, after a time ‘T’
|
F0,T
|
Holder of an asset (presently or referring to spot
market)
|
A trader with
long position
|
Seller of an asset
(Presently or referring to spot market)
|
A trader with
short position
|
If the holder of the asset agrees to sell in future
and enters into an agreement
|
Then, his position is denoted in forward markets as:
Short forward
position
|
If an investor wishes to buy the asset in future
|
Then, his position is denoted in forward markets as:
Long forward position
|
If an investor borrows an asset from an holder and
sells it in the spot market.
(Please understand that he is expecting that in future the prices would come
down and he can repurchase the asset at a lower price)
|
A short sale
position
|
Dividend yield ( Dividend yield is an income for the
holder of the asset)
|
δ
|
Convenience yield
|
λ
|
Information about convenience yield: Generally
companies hold the commodities for their working capital needs and they know in future it would be very
difficult to acquire the assets either due to shortage or due to price increase. For example, a steel manufacturer knows that
it is better to store the commodity, even though it causes storage cost. The
advantage to the manufacturer, when compared to other manufacturers is, he
can avoid shortage of material. Therefore, such holders of assets enjoy the convenience of holding the assets. Therefore storage of commodities offers a
convenience to the holder of asset. That convenience is expressed in yield or return terms as “Convenience yield”.
|
From tomorrow onwards, we will discuss
deeply on topic: COMMODITY FORWARDS AND FUTURES, BY Robert McDonald.
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